You're right. But he's going off of what is established, whether that is faulty or not. So his claim is based on something faulty, but it is based on somethin

You're right. But he's going off of what is established, whether that is faulty or not. So his claim is based on something faulty, but it is based on something. Your qualm is not with him or his statements, rather with the standards for current 10 year/100 year/500 year estimates.