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The fundamental takeaway from this article is about half way down. Major flood events are occurint more frequently. What was once likely to hit a city every 500
by blondie9x 9y ago
The fundamental takeaway from this article is about half way down. Major flood events are occurint more frequently. What was once likely to hit a city every 500 years is happening to more cities on a planetary scale more frequently.
- ars 9y agoI know it's easy to blame climate change for anything and everything, but that's simply incorrect. The actual takeaway is that our data is wrong, these floods occur more often than we thought. With only 150 years of good data, it's impossible to calculate "500 year" events accurately. You would need around 5,000 years of data to do that, and we don't have it. So we ended up significantly underestimating how often these events occur.
- blondie9x 9y agoYou can see in graph that floods are occurring more often and that clouds are able to absorb more water as temperatures rise. This hurricane would have happened. But this flooding is worsening because of climate change that is irrefutable.
- interstitial 9y agoBy irrefutable, what do you mean? Over-fitting and variance should make normal engineers more cautious. Evidently, climate science is far more magical.
- interstitial 9y agoIt's almost like you are saying the model was overfit to the data.
- qqg3 9y agoAnd we failed to incorporate the "concrete jungle" effect
- honestoHeminway 9y agoShouldnt there be more data in geologic strata? Flooding leaves distinct marks if i remember correctly. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geography_of_Houston https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geography_of_Houston Would love to ask these gentlefolks that question: http://www.beg.utexas.edu/presentations/2005_presentations/blakeney102505.pdf http://www.beg.utexas.edu/presentations/2005_presentations/b... https://www.osti.gov/scitech/servlets/purl/841632 https://www.osti.gov/scitech/servlets/purl/841632