I'll lay this down as timestamp'd predictions for future reference. 1. The McCain collision was the result of the merchant ship not seeing (visually or on rada

I'll lay this down as timestamp'd predictions for future reference. 1. The McCain collision was the result of the merchant ship not seeing (visually or on radar) the McCain and turning directly into the path of the Navy ship. In that location, there would have been little warning for McCain, and with the combined speeds of the ships easily over 40 knots the damage would be devastating. McCain will still shoulder some of the blame, the CO and OOD will be reprimanded, but ultimately this will be seen as a "normal" collision that unfortunately happens every so often. 2. The Fitzgerald collision, however, will be found to be caused by gross negligence on the part of the Navy ship, and at least two officers (the Officer of the Deck and the Tactical Action Officer) will be court-martialed. There's no excuse for that collision, with that geometry, in that part of the world, and with such little warning (not waking the CO, for example).