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In my opinion the PD has always been worthless because it is based on a series of false paradigms. Most importantly, this scenario involves only a binary decis
by StanislavPetrov 9y ago
In my opinion the PD has always been worthless because it is based on a series of false paradigms.
Most importantly, this scenario involves only a binary decision. In reality, there are no binary decisions. Every single possible decision involved countless contingencies to consider which are limited only by the awareness and imagination of the person making the decision. Trying to apply this false paradigm to reality is nonsense. You might as well try to discern real-world data about the number of angels that people believe will fit on the end of a pin.
>Compare this with the Prisoner’s Dilemma. For a quick synopsis, two prisoners being questioned each have the choice to either defend the other’s innocence or betray the other’s guilt.
The underlying assumption is that innocence and guilt are the only factors driving the prisoners decision. What if the prisoner's primary motivation is the rejection of coercion by his captors? Making assumptions about motivation completely nullifies any potentially valuable insights about human behavior.