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They're saying this could be the worst disaster in state history. It already looks like New Orleans after Katrina: https://twitter.com/NBCNews/status/90181849
by aaron-lebo 9y ago
They're saying this could be the worst disaster in state history.
It already looks like New Orleans after Katrina:
https://twitter.com/NBCNews/status/901818498908905472 https://twitter.com/NBCNews/status/901818498908905472
What's worse is it's forecast to head back out into the gulf and drop rain on the region until it makes landfall at Houston (possibly as a cat 1) on Thursday. Several of the major dams/reservoirs are already at capacity and we've got another 20-30 inches of rain.
It's like worst case scenario.
It is estimated an additional 24 to 30 inches of rain can fall in Houston metro area, on top of what has already fallen by next Thursday. I cannot overstate enough how much I hope that model is wrong, on that value.
https://www.reddit.com/r/houston/comments/6wbo8t/live_hurricane_harvey_live_megathread_day_4/dm794al/?context=3 https://www.reddit.com/r/houston/comments/6wbo8t/live_hurric...
Get ready, because the next few decades are gonna look like this.
- spookyuser 9y ago> Get ready, because the next few decades are gonna look like this. And this https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/901797906046439426 https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/90179790604643942...
- Symbiote 9y ago> 20-30 inches of rain 500-750mm, for anyone else with my familiarity with inches. Wow!
- baq 9y agoAnd that's extra to what already fell. incomprehensible.
- angersock 9y agoWorst disaster in state history would probably be when Texas City blew itself up in the 40s.
- rurban 9y agoNope, when STP will blew up, not being able to cool its reactors. The whole area will be flooded, dirting their cooling water. https://www.reddit.com/r/houston/comments/6wepsx/please_keep_an_eye_on_the_colorado_levels_stp/ https://www.reddit.com/r/houston/comments/6wepsx/please_keep...
- emmelaich 9y agoI've also heard on radio that it is "unprecedented" Yet every weather/climate nerd has heard of Galveston 1900.
- pfranz 9y agoYes, and by death toll it (hopefully) will never be matched. It changed Galveston forever. My wife's dad would say she probably would have been a Galveston baby if it wasn't for that storm (if it wasn't obvious, she was born and raised in Houston). In 1915, a similar strength hurricane hit Galveston with only 53 casualties. But by damage and cost, this will very likely be higher.
- emmelaich 9y ago> Get ready, because the next few decades are gonna look like this. Probably not.[1] And thinking as a lay person, storm intensity is governed by differences in temperature, not absolute rises is it not? In fact one might expect lower intensity, since the poles will warm by more than the equator. [1] > there is a small nominally positive upward trend in tropical storm occurrence from 1878-2006. But statistical tests reveal that this trend is so small, relative to the variability in the series, that it is not significantly distinguishable from zero https://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/historical-atlantic-hurricane-and-tropical-storm-records/ https://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/historical-atlantic-hurricane-and-...
- gdubs 9y agoWhile the storm hit with the highest category in a decade, it's not the intensity that's the problem here - it's that the storm is just parked and not moving anywhere, continuing to dump rain.
- emmelaich 9y agoOK, from that same link, regarding landfalling hurricanes. "... U.S. landfalling hurricanes, which even show a slight *negative* trend beginning from 1900 or from the late 1800s ..." My emphasis on negative.
- locopati 9y agoHigher global temperatures mean higher ocean temperatures meaning there's more warm water for hurricanes to draw energy from. This is what happened with Harvey - it crossed a swath of warm Gulf water and accelerated into a cat4 instead of a tropical storm.