The problem is that you're assuming that the makeup of electricity production in Europe is a constant, which is strange, because it's probably easier to build l

The problem is that you're assuming that the makeup of electricity production in Europe is a constant, which is strange, because it's probably easier to build low-carbon electricity infrastructure than replace tens of millions of gasoline cars. But the fuel used for gasoline cars is constant, whereas an arbitrary percentage of electricity production can be simply replaced by renewables. Similarly, the CO2 output of car manufacturing itself is variable, dependent on the choice of electricity production method. Of course, a dramatic increase in car production translates to a dramatic increase in resource usage, but cars are not particularly durable commodities, usually lasting only about 15 years or so. A bigger problem is that the Baltic states (worst electricity prospects in this study) don't have a whole ton of renewable energy potential. It's dark, not (that) windy, not mountainous or volcanic...