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They are basing their guess on stats from AdMob. Everyone, say it with me: Ad traffic does not equal web traffic. Web traffic does not equal market share. M

by pkaler 16y ago

They are basing their guess on stats from AdMob. Everyone, say it with me: Ad traffic does not equal web traffic. Web traffic does not equal market share. Market share does not equal revenue.

patrickaljord 16y ago
I agree with you but let's face it, the number of Android devices being sold is increasing each month at a huge rate. Just like Windows outsold Mac, the same will happen with Android. That doesn't mean iPhone will go away though.
- catch23 16y ago
  There's no doubt android will be everywhere eventually -- in a laundry machine, toaster, microwave, etc. However, whether android becomes an actual competitor to iOS is still undecided. App developers on the iOS platform still make around 40x more than android, so companies jumping on that platform right now will most certainly lose money initially. A few friends of mine run their own ISV producing around 5-10 apps for the iPhone a year and are able to make a decent living (around 100-200k a year). If they focused on android, they'd only be making around 3-5k a year, definitely not enough to be independent! I think it's too easy to pirate and return apps on android, plus the App market not quite as globally available as iOS. Users on android are too accustomed to downloading free apps -- if it's not free, users don't download it. There are too many steps involved in buying an app, there needs to be far less steps involved so it can be an impulse buy. One also can't do fancier sales models like in-app purchases that the iOS is capable of doing. I really wish well for android, but I feel like Google just doesn't know marketing & sales like Apple does.
  - orangecat 16y ago
    I think it's too easy to pirate and return apps on android Around 5% of my app's purchases are returned. Even if every one of those is a pirate, that's not too bad. Agreed with the rest of your points.
  - billmcneale 16y ago
    > I think it's too easy to pirate and return apps on android It is indeed easy, and I think Google should be praised for choosing a business model that favors users over carriers (or themselves).
theBobMcCormick 16y ago
Here's a similar conclusion based on analysis of very different data: http://www.fool.com/investing/high-growth/2010/05/27/deciphering-androids-smartphone-sales-figures.aspx http://www.fool.com/investing/high-growth/2010/05/27/deciphe...

by pkaler 16y ago

They are basing their guess on stats from AdMob. Everyone, say it with me: Ad traffic does not equal web traffic. Web traffic does not equal market share. Market share does not equal revenue.

patrickaljord 16y ago

I agree with you but let's face it, the number of Android devices being sold is increasing each month at a huge rate. Just like Windows outsold Mac, the same will happen with Android. That doesn't mean iPhone will go away though.

catch23 16y ago
There's no doubt android will be everywhere eventually -- in a laundry machine, toaster, microwave, etc. However, whether android becomes an actual competitor to iOS is still undecided. App developers on the iOS platform still make around 40x more than android, so companies jumping on that platform right now will most certainly lose money initially. A few friends of mine run their own ISV producing around 5-10 apps for the iPhone a year and are able to make a decent living (around 100-200k a year). If they focused on android, they'd only be making around 3-5k a year, definitely not enough to be independent! I think it's too easy to pirate and return apps on android, plus the App market not quite as globally available as iOS. Users on android are too accustomed to downloading free apps -- if it's not free, users don't download it. There are too many steps involved in buying an app, there needs to be far less steps involved so it can be an impulse buy. One also can't do fancier sales models like in-app purchases that the iOS is capable of doing. I really wish well for android, but I feel like Google just doesn't know marketing & sales like Apple does.
- orangecat 16y ago
  I think it's too easy to pirate and return apps on android Around 5% of my app's purchases are returned. Even if every one of those is a pirate, that's not too bad. Agreed with the rest of your points.
- billmcneale 16y ago
  > I think it's too easy to pirate and return apps on android It is indeed easy, and I think Google should be praised for choosing a business model that favors users over carriers (or themselves).

theBobMcCormick 16y ago

Here's a similar conclusion based on analysis of very different data: http://www.fool.com/investing/high-growth/2010/05/27/deciphering-androids-smartphone-sales-figures.aspx http://www.fool.com/investing/high-growth/2010/05/27/deciphe...