One high answer uses Bayes' formula and requires estimating probabilities like the probability that a random car is blue. ... Following the metaphor, you'd have

One high answer uses Bayes' formula and requires estimating probabilities like the probability that a random car is blue. ... Following the metaphor, you'd have to ... estimate the probability that god exists first in order to decide what the poll means about the probability that god exists. Another answer comes with a disclaimer that the problem only works out in a straight-forward way if blue cars aren't a super-rare unbelievable occurrence. I don't think a poll about gods lends itself to an obvious answer similarly.