3 ms·
> You have a blue car (by some objective scientific measure - it is blue). Makes all other facts irrelevant. Now what if 900 out of 1000 say god exist. What i
by z3t4 9y ago
> You have a blue car (by some objective scientific measure - it is blue).
Makes all other facts irrelevant.
Now what if 900 out of 1000 say god exist. What is the probability that god exists ?
- AgentME 9y agoOne high answer uses Bayes' formula and requires estimating probabilities like the probability that a random car is blue. ... Following the metaphor, you'd have to ... estimate the probability that god exists first in order to decide what the poll means about the probability that god exists. Another answer comes with a disclaimer that the problem only works out in a straight-forward way if blue cars aren't a super-rare unbelievable occurrence. I don't think a poll about gods lends itself to an obvious answer similarly.