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Previous discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=14221587 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=14221587 Author's comment: https://news.ycombinator.com
by r721 9y ago
Previous discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=14221587 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=14221587
Author's comment: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=14223780 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=14223780
"Honestly I just wrote this for fun to play devil's advocate and see how convincing an argument I could make. It was intended to be more creative writing than a serious market prediction. (The title used to be "How Google Collapsed" -- Startup Grind changed it and added the subtitle when they published it on their blog).
I don't think it's likely that Google is going to collapse any time soon. I just wanted to imagine a world where they had, and try to work backwards from there with current data.
It's my first article, and I'm only 21 so I definitely got a lot of things wrong and oversimplified/combined others. But I do have almost 2 years of work experience in online advertising, so I have /some/ idea of how things work.
I was honestly expecting 12 views and a mean comment about how stupid I was -- I didn't expect the article to pick up traction. The editor in chief of Startup Grind reached out to me and asked if I would like to have it published on their blog, and I said sure."
- sjg007 9y agoIt's a very good analysis. You miss chromebooks and the play store revenues but those might be dwarfed by ads. the next task is to figure out what's next which might be glass/AR.