4 ms·
I'm tempted to be pithy. I'm tempted to write something like "and that, of course, is why Microsoft as a company completely folded after the death of the deskto
by hug 9y ago
I'm tempted to be pithy. I'm tempted to write something like "and that, of course, is why Microsoft as a company completely folded after the death of the desktop PC," but it wouldn't really be worth reading. On the other hand who doesn't like a bit of apophasis, right?
But, you know, maybe they're right. Maybe online advertising is a dying business, and maybe that's why no one solicits for advertising partnerships at the bottom of their articles.
Who knows. Maybe their article is, seriously this time, completely correct, and maybe that flashy graph they've got at the top of the page -- you know, the one asking about whether or not you search for products on Amazon or Google -- isn't because no one really feels the need to google for toilet paper before buying some off whoever is convenient.
You know what will help? Some pullquotes from CEOs saying things like "brand owners are detemined to take the lead". Of course they are. That's why the Internet is now devoid of atrocious ads.
Quick. Put some more graphs in, but make sure you don't put the one in that shows their rising profit margins.
- gaius 9y ago"and that, of course, is why Microsoft as a company completely folded after the death of the desktop PC," Who thought giants like SGI, DEC, Sun would fall? But they did, and when it happened it happened quickly. Isn't Google in SGI's old building now?
- skj 9y agoThe building is haunted, clearly. Cursed, even!
- izacus 9y agoAnd who thought companies like Apple and Microsoft wouldn't fail? Doom articles are dime a dozen.
- Houshalter 9y agoSurvivorship bias.
- torstenvl 9y agoYou seem to have a very flawed concept of what the word "bias" means.
- Houshalter 9y agoHow? This is straightforward survivorship bias. The first examples of big companies that come to your head are always going to be ones that were lucky and survived by pure chance. You are much less likely to remember or hear about the unlucky ones that aren't around anymore.
- torstenvl 9y agoBecause the word "bias" pertains to whether a sample is representative or not. It has to do with probabilities. GGGP isn't saying that long-term successful outcomes are the probable or most likely result of being large at one point in history, so your criticism is inapposite. What he's saying is that, contrary to the OP's seeming position, a paradigm shift isn't always fatal to established players, i.e., "doom articles are a dime a dozen."