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I never really understood this argument. I mean, you can daydream for free about Warren Buffet choosing you at random to give $300 million to, or inheriting a d
by Chathamization 9y ago
I never really understood this argument. I mean, you can daydream for free about Warren Buffet choosing you at random to give $300 million to, or inheriting a distant relatives belongings and finding a Pollock in there.
Maybe with the lottery its easier for people to deceive themselves about the actual odds?
- diggernet 9y agoI imagine the odds of winning the lottery, as low as they are, are significantly higher than Buffet giving you $300M. It's not deceiving yourself to recognize that miniscule odds are greater than zero.
- Chathamization 9y agoNot sure why you think it would be 0%; people have stumbled across $15 million Pollock paintings by accident[1]. William Durkin happened to be at the right place at the right time to save Howard Hughe's life, and it looks like he was at least offered money afterwards[2]. There's plenty of other stories where something extremely unlikely happens and someone gets rich. The likelihood of winning the Powerball is something like 0.000000005%. Not sure what the odds are of these other unlikely events, but even if they're less likely - you really think someone is able to daydream about a 0.000000005% chance but not a 0.000000000005% chance? [1] http://www.cnn.com/2017/06/12/us/lost-jackson-pollock-painting-garage-trnd/index.html http://www.cnn.com/2017/06/12/us/lost-jackson-pollock-painti... [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Howard_Hughes#Near-fatal_crash_of_the_XF-11 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Howard_Hughes#Near-fatal_crash...
- auntienomen 9y agoThe kind of fantasy you're describing isn't an equivalent good. People buying lotto tickets are fantasizing, amongst other things, on not being dependent on the largesse of others.