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>Every day that you commute to work, you have a higher then 0.00001% chance of dying in a traffic accident. If all of humanity got in the car with me as I went
by AgentME 9y ago
>Every day that you commute to work, you have a higher then 0.00001% chance of dying in a traffic accident.
If all of humanity got in the car with me as I went to work, I'd be much more concerned about the odds.
- dredmorbius 9y agoI think you've just pointed out the fallacy here: the false equivalence of a risk affecting one person vs. the entire human race (or planet). The if the odds of dying in an auto accident for one person are 0.00001%, then the risks of the 7.5 billion souls on this rock dying simultaneously in an auto accident are 0.00001% raised to the power of 7.5 billion. That's basically 1 * 10^-45% odds. The comparative risk posed by the asteroid is approximately 1 * 10^40 times greater. Which paints a rather different picture.