Thanks, I've looked into it over the years but I'm always interested in different perspectives. Between the contract categorization changes, actual shortages,

Thanks, I've looked into it over the years but I'm always interested in different perspectives. Between the contract categorization changes, actual shortages, and the bubonic plague, I think there are a lot of things that are unclear. Without the plague abruptly killing all the speculators would we have called it a bubble, or just an uptrend?