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> Facebook has managed to do what Usenet couldn't, which is to survive, so far, the Eternal September. I think Facebook's Eternal September is coming in the fo
by cyphar 9y ago
> Facebook has managed to do what Usenet couldn't, which is to survive, so far, the Eternal September.
I think Facebook's Eternal September is coming in the form of "Facebook is what my parents use". I don't think it'll disappear, but it's going to go into a lull because they'll start seeing dropping numbers of their core demographic as they get older and younger people don't join up as much as they used to 5 years ago.
> As to Mastodon: I'm on it, I'm asctive. It's faded a bit since April as initial interest is giving way, but it remains active. And GNU Social of course rocks on (and rags on the New Upstart to Get Off Its Lawn....)
I'm sure you know this, but Mastodon is just an implementation of the same protocol that GNU Social uses. So distinguishing between two implementations in the same fediverse is a bit of a stretch IMO.
- dredmorbius 9y agoFacebook's biggest risk is probably some new "Harvard network" emerging. Maybe not literally Harvard, but equivalent. It would hive off FB' high value users, leaving the network with a negative death spiral dynamic. Goggle could fund these until doomsday out of petty cash and drive Zuck insane fighting them off (and buying them off). Or having to crank up ads revenue and alienating users. The eqivalent of bad-service defections in many businesses. Squeezing customers works until it doesn't.