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Each point: Lesson 1. We're terrible at making predictions. Especially about the future Lesson 2. An alarming number of technology trends are flashes in the p
by iokevins 9y ago
Each point:
Lesson 1. We're terrible at making predictions. Especially about the future
Lesson 2. An alarming number of technology trends are flashes in the pan
Lesson 3. Lots of technologies just die. Period
Lesson 4: The technical insight is often correct, but the implementation isn't there
Lesson 5: We've been working on a few core technical problems for decades
Lesson 6: Some technologies keep receding into the future
Lesson 7: Lots of technologies make progress when no-one is looking
Lesson 8: Many major technologies flew under the Hype Cycle radar