3 ms·
8 Lessons from 20 Years of Hype Cycles
- iokevins 9y agoEach point: Lesson 1. We're terrible at making predictions. Especially about the future Lesson 2. An alarming number of technology trends are flashes in the pan Lesson 3. Lots of technologies just die. Period Lesson 4: The technical insight is often correct, but the implementation isn't there Lesson 5: We've been working on a few core technical problems for decades Lesson 6: Some technologies keep receding into the future Lesson 7: Lots of technologies make progress when no-one is looking Lesson 8: Many major technologies flew under the Hype Cycle radar