4 ms·
No. As someone who has watch AI development since the late 70's as both a student, undergraduate and then real world programmer, every hyped-up break-through in
by oldandtired 9y ago
No. As someone who has watch AI development since the late 70's as both a student, undergraduate and then real world programmer, every hyped-up break-through in AI has led to minor improvements but nothing that takes the programs beyond relative simplicity.
Even the systems that beat grandmasters in there respective games are having to operate at gigahertz speeds, focussed on one simple task to beat the human who has to operate in a highly sensory loaded environment. The human has many things to focus on, is running at relatively low speeds (nerve impulses are glacial slow compared to the impulse sequences in silicon hardware) and is still only just being beaten.
We have little or no real understanding of how the brain works, what sentience, intelligence and consciousness or free will is. Until we have this kind of understanding of ourselves, this concept that certain people are worried about (the singularity) will not happen. None of our computer systems (or all of them combined) are of the complexity of a single human baby brain.
In addition, since I also believe that there is a Creator God who built and designed the universe and that new intelligences are solely in His domain, I have no concern over any such singularity ever being created by man.
- fellellor 9y agoWhat we do have to worry about is the power of hype and marketing and the stupidity of the management class falling prey to that. That stupidity and short sightedness may cause more loss of livelihood than the technology itself.
- studentrob 9y agoYes. It seems almost inevitable that companies will overhype their versions of the tech in order to get more investment. The more success the tech has, the more expectations the public will have. Musk's rhetoric has come from some relatively minor advancement, in my opinion, compared to what is coming, given that GPU/ASIC hardware is still improving. I think education can help, and maybe we should expect some dips. Perhaps in the next dip, research into the tech will not fall as flat as it did in the 1980s during the last AI winter. Who knows what lies ahead.