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> The authors note that thousands of studies, conducted by tens of thousands of scientists, have documented climate changes on land and in the air. The enormou
by guscost 9y ago
> The authors note that thousands of studies, conducted by tens of thousands of scientists, have documented climate changes on land and in the air.
The enormous effort put toward finding "confirmations" of the hypothesis has always been a big reason why I'm reluctant to trust the authorities in this case. I don't see the point of going through this again. Where are the falsifiable predictions? Will the Arctic Ocean be ice-free next month? We're back to point number one from Karl Popper's essay:
"It is easy to obtain confirmations, or verifications, for nearly every theory- if we look for confirmations."
- kristopolous 9y agoIf you drive blindfolded do you know exactly how your car will be dented or precisely where the collision will take place? Does not knowing these answers make the activity fundamentally safe and concern about blindfolded driving to be alarmist? It's certainly possible to see something as absurdly dangerous without having crystal ball level predictive accuracy.
- guscost 9y agoOption A: This crisis is so important that we don't have time to wait for science stuff like falsification. Option B: This crisis is known to serious scientists, and everyone who doesn't agree is a knuckle-dragging moron. You can only pick one of those options...
- kristopolous 9y agoThat's the argument tobacco companies used. They'd find one counterexample of someone who smoked 70 years and say "Aha! No cancer here! Tobacco is safe!" I mean seriously, find a new strategy, that one is from the 60s.