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This is most adaptive algorithms work, though. As your scenario gets played out over and over, the high threshold people will notice the decline in profitabilit
by philipodonnell 9y ago
This is most adaptive algorithms work, though. As your scenario gets played out over and over, the high threshold people will notice the decline in profitability and look for ways of improving the algorithm. They'll look at the various parameters and notice that the lower the volume delta the higher the return, so the volume delta parameter will come down. As everyone's volume delta comes down, the strategy will work less and less until it roughly equals the discount rate.
Anything that can be completely automated will lead to an elimination of excess returns. Having a single parameter that differs between market participants is not enough to stabilize a long-term imbalance.
- module0000 9y agoI appreciate the comment, but it just doesn't work out that way. In theory yes, what you are saying holds up. In practice(I'm running these 24/7 and generating my income solely from them) this has not happened yet, and is showing zero progress towards happening.