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Thanks for reading, I hope to improve the analysis over time. I spent the last three years building a unique database that contains the complete paintings of ~4

Thanks for reading, I hope to improve the analysis over time. I spent the last three years building a unique database that contains the complete paintings of ~40 of the best known artists of the twentieth century. I was motivated by reading about the large percentage of works that are forged or misattributed. I had always just assumed there was a single database listing how many works artists created, average size of the works, changes in materials over time etc. (similar to sports stats). After asking around and learning no such database exists I decided to build one. Getting my blog out there has allowed me to meet with a lot of really sharp folks like yourself who are helping me refine the analysis.

jaclaz 9y ago
>Thanks for reading, I hope to improve the analysis over time. Good, but I don't see the analysis at all. I mean you are betting (without any actual money which is good) on the actual auction price of something in the future. The auction price of a work of art - by definition - is not in any way like the actual market value of anything (it will be MUCH lower or MUCH higher or JUST ABOUT right) depending on a zillion factors that have nothing to do with the actual value of the piece. And you have so few data points that a statistical approach is mostly meaningless, let alone one based (in the case of a study) based on the differences between it and the final painting. You could use a few sessions of flippism and get a similar value. Or count the number of unique RGB colours in the (photos of) the paintings and give each one a value between 1,217 and 23,146 US$ depending on brightness , later multiplied by the square root of the year it was painted and arrive to a same "mathematical" estimation.