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That's not how probability works, and the risk of developing cancer isn't stable throughout your life, it increases significantly with age.
by eksemplar 9y ago
That's not how probability works, and the risk of developing cancer isn't stable throughout your life, it increases significantly with age.
- lisper 9y agoYes, I know that. That analysis was a bit of a straw man. Like I said, the real problem is that I couldn't think of any interpretation under which that claim was plausible. Maybe that's simply due to a lack of imagination on my part, but the way to argue that is to present a plausible interpretation, not to simply proclaim that "that's not how probability works."