No, they're not at all the same thing. Consider radioactive decay. An isotope has a half-life that remains constant over time. After one half-life, the remaini

No, they're not at all the same thing. Consider radioactive decay. An isotope has a half-life that remains constant over time. After one half-life, the remaining material of that isotope isn't there because it's "special" or robust or less likely to decay, it just got lucky. Its half-life from this point remains unchanged, so it does not display the Lindy effect. Similarly, old humans give us plenty of opportunity to talk about survivorship bias, but we out lifetimes do not display the Lindy effect -- older humans are not expected to have longer remaining lives than young humans.