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Bitcoin. The longer it continues increasing adoption and users (like any network effect) the more useful it will become to more people. Also, the higher the ma
by PKop 9y ago
Bitcoin.
The longer it continues increasing adoption and users (like any network effect) the more useful it will become to more people. Also, the higher the market cap, the more people will be invested in its success. The longer it continues to work as designed, the more people will trust it.
- simonh 9y agoApple, Microsoft and Intel have dominated the personal computer industry for almost all of its existence, and their relative positions within that market have been remarkably stable. Therefore as every year passes with that still true, the expected future lifetime of that triopoly increases.
- franciscop 9y agoI am not sure companies follow this as they can go bankrupt and be gone in a matter of months.
- mannykannot 9y agoThere are many counterexamples in business - Nokia, Blackberry, Sears (the names live on, but as shells of their former selves.) One has to be wary of survivorship bias when looking for the Lindy effect.
- zhte415 9y agoBlockchain, perhaps. Bitcoin itself seems to not have gathered sufficient momentum or acceptance to gain any use outside of the use it currently has. Bitcoin is not dying, but is not thriving.