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I laid out my objections to your objections here: http://www.kurzweilai.net/mindx/frame.html?main=show_thread.php?rootID%3D59556%23id81837 http://www.kurzweila
by dreish 19y ago
I laid out my objections to your objections here:
http://www.kurzweilai.net/mindx/frame.html?main=show_thread.php?rootID%3D59556%23id81837 http://www.kurzweilai.net/mindx/frame.html?main=show_thread....
I wouldn't be surprised if he's spot-on about the technology of speech recognition getting to that practical level exactly on his predicted schedule -- it's one of those kinds of things he has been obsessed with on a very technical level for many years, and it really has been improving rapidly.
The chief reason I doubt most people would choose it is that it just doesn't work in an environment with other people around. However, since developing tendonitis in my right hand, I've often thought I'd try it just to give my hands time to heal.
It could get good enough within three or four years that people will do it anyway, just because it will be faster and more comfortable than typing for all but a handful of people.
I agree that some of his other predictions are a little nutty, but only by degrees.