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Now add taxi drivers. Now add non-semi truck drivers, such as delivery drivers for auto parts stores, pizza, or couriers. Now lets hop outward just slightly: L
by quaunaut 9y ago
Now add taxi drivers. Now add non-semi truck drivers, such as delivery drivers for auto parts stores, pizza, or couriers.
Now lets hop outward just slightly: Lets include most shipping personnel, whether involved in packing, organizing, shelf arrangement, etc. While we're at it, lets do that for any big box store in the country.
With barely any adjustments, this single technological shift inside of one vertical just eliminated 5-10 million jobs.
This also only includes one level of extrapolation. What about the HR jobs related to these positions? Safety inspectors? Managers?
This is all ignoring the fact that "3.5 million is no big deal" is ridiculous. 3.5 million is massive. Losing that many jobs over 5 years would be a massive increase- it'd cut that 200k number by 1/3rd by itself, not including any of my additions above.
The entirety of the 2008 recession resulted in 8.7 million job losses- and a lot of that were temporary losses based on less revenue than previous years, so with a better economy the jobs would return. The jobs we're talking about now? They're never coming back. Nothing similar is coming back. They're gone, forever.
- Clubber 9y agoNot only that, those truck drivers are licensed, meaning it's a skilled profession. Chances are if they find work, it will be in an unskilled position which pays significantly less with less benefits. That's sucking a whole lot of capital out of the middle class and the economy. What does a country look like without a solid middle class? Broke and on fire. A reckoning is coming and our politicians are pretending it isn't, or they have no idea what to do about it.
- gremlinsinc 9y agoyou said big box store... now let's move out to Amazon closing tons of box stores by replacing people's shopping habits.. Malls are closing left and right. Sears is going out of business, many other retailers are too... It's a feedback loop where the more retailers close and jobs are lost, the less people have to spend, the more retailers/stores/restaurants will close, the less people will have to spend..the more... and so on..