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Unfortunately, you are correct about that -- it isn't a mainstream view at all, which is why I share it during relevant discussions. However, the fact that a n
by lend000 9y ago
Unfortunately, you are correct about that -- it isn't a mainstream view at all, which is why I share it during relevant discussions.
However, the fact that a narrative with political implications is "mainstream" does nothing for its credibility. I try to understand how these things work and while it's a pretty nebulous domain, the factors I presented are what seem to be the most significant I've seen in explaining the behavior of the real estate market, and further, the market at large, in '01-'08.
We are both rightfully upset that the crisis "somehow led to trillions of dollars missing" --
while paper wealth and market cycles are inevitable, the magnitude and 'unfairness' of this event is clearly a problem. However, when you then confidently assert the cause: "banks got really creative, a bunch of people made nice bonuses, then when their fancy leveraged mechanisms went bad, we all had to bail them out" without any details or refutation of the explanation I posted, to which you were responding...
Well, what I read was "I'm not sure what happened but I don't like it [rightfully so], and this narrative gives me an easy scapegoat -- an evil, shadowy figure, of sorts -- to blame, which seems to absolve me of needing to understand any of the mechanics involved, and which also happens to validate my pre-existing political beliefs."
- jbooth 9y agoFunny, I think the same thing about evil, shadowy scapegoats. When we have a market crash caused by private actors trading and someone says "OBVIOUSLY the problem is GOVERNMENT" I think they're arguing backwards from ideology rather than working forwards from observation.
- lend000 9y agoIndeed, which is why I made sure to include something different: the technical analysis and mechanics of the issue.