3 ms·
I loved Kurzweil's book. Unfortunately in all the talk about Moore's Law and exponential growth, Murphy's Law was forgotten (perhaps in a self-referencing manif
by giardini 19y ago
I loved Kurzweil's book. Unfortunately in all the talk about Moore's Law and exponential growth, Murphy's Law was forgotten (perhaps in a self-referencing manifestation of the same law).
Example:
My HMO has figured out that, if a patient has a serious chronic ailment (e.g., diabetes, heart disease, cancer, etc.) then it is cheaper for them should the patient die:
I. Treat patient:
cost of treatment $100
cost of future treatments $???
Highly-variable costs borne largely by the HMO.
II. Let patient die:
cost of treatment $100
cost of future treatments $ 0
Cost to HMO limited to $100. Remaining costs borne by the deceased's life insurance company.
The perfect HMO patient is one who never visits his doctor and then dies quickly.
Should the HMO increase profitability by speeding their chronically-ill patients to a painless death? Stockholders cry "Yes!"; patients whimper a fearful "No." Needless to say some cognitive dissonance must arise should one's income be so directly tied to one's ability to (not) keep one's patients alive.
Economic and social conflicts within the medical system are a greater hindrance to the singularity than are technical hurdles.
- BrandonM 19y agoThis is exactly why health and life insurance is a losing game. Your health insurance company loses money when it fulfills its purported purpose. Life insurance puts you on the wrong side of the bet: you are betting that your life will be short. I highly doubt that Kurzweil has an HMO.
- Tichy 19y agoWhat is a HMO? In any case, if an insurance company would default to "Let patient die", it would probably lose a lot of customers - shareholders would not be pleased.
- edu 19y agoFrom the New Oxford American Dictionary: health maintenance organization (abbr.: HMO) a health insurance organization to which subscribers pay a predetermined fee in return for a range of medical services from physicians and healthcare workers registered with the organization.