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So they report the factors they weigh, then self-report the factors they think contributed to success? That feels like fertile ground for confirmation bias.
by zzalpha 9y ago
So they report the factors they weigh, then self-report the factors they think contributed to success?
That feels like fertile ground for confirmation bias.
- abuteau 9y agoyes most likely confirmation bias which is in sync with their reported ability to outperform but they dont usually.. this was the shadiest part of the survey for me.. failure data looks similar to
- avs733 9y agoI have a foot in the engineering research, the educational research, and the business research camps. The level to which I trust the findings in business research is basically this order: 1) Educational Research 2) Engineering Research 3) A guy on the corner saying 'trust me' 4) Business Research The issue is simply down to the level of trust they seem to place in their data. The data is treated as invariant and highly positivist, and their trust in experts self-reports (because they are self-reports) is staggering. You should be really cautious at an epistemic level of taking anything business researchers tell you about how people make decisions.
- abuteau 9y agoAgreed, I look at about 10 business paper a week and quality of statistical analysis is frequently missing. What I liked about this one is that they are pretty transparent on the methodology so you can see the surveyed VCs biases. They also cross check the sources with other data..
- deleted 9y ago[deleted]