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The U.S. economy is about 65% driven by domestic consumer spending. That's huge and doesn't even include domestic commercial spending. In total, it represents a
by unclebucknasty 9y ago
The U.S. economy is about 65% driven by domestic consumer spending. That's huge and doesn't even include domestic commercial spending. In total, it represents a pretty self-sufficient economy. Not to mention the benefits of having oil largely denominated in dollars for so long,
It makes me earnestly wonder how the U.S. would have fared had we taken a protectionist stance like China (or even moreso). I get that cheap labor/manufacturing makes stuff cheaper for us, but of course it also creates downward pressure on domestic wages.
I also get that trade opens new markets for our corporations, but we do run pretty massive trade deficits with our larger partners, meaning that, on-balance, this benefit is oversold.
With higher wages and near full domestic employment, corporate profit margins would have likely been lower, though real-income may have been higher due to steady demand from high income consumers.
Anyway, just a thought exercise. Seems hard to go back from here, but I do wonder what the net result would have been.
- Animats 9y agoThe U.S. economy is about 65% driven by domestic consumer spending. (Source? But reasonable.) The effect is that GDP is limited by domestic consumer income, which is driven by total wages paid. Without higher wages, the U.S. economy cannot grow. More productive capacity does not help.
- unclebucknasty 9y ago>Source? It's actually closer to 70%, and is an oft-quoted stat. While it is occasionally disputed by an economist here or there, it is generally accepted. Sources are abundant. Here's one: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=hh3 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=hh3