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> Climate Change -> X -> Larsen C rift I think if you compare historical rates of iceberg calving to current rates of iceberg calving, you should be able to fi

by _rpd 9y ago

> Climate Change -> X -> Larsen C rift I think if you compare historical rates of iceberg calving to current rates of iceberg calving, you should be able to find some significant quantifiable difference. Although ultimately the important thing is the influence on flow rates of land-based ice.

nonbel 9y ago
>"I think if you compare historical rates of iceberg calving to current rates of iceberg calving, you should be able to find some significant quantifiable difference." So? The rates could increase/decrease for many reasons. If all your X mechanism predicts is that the rate should change (or only slightly better, increase/decrease) it isn't going to be distinguishable from any other reason. Edit: It really sounds like you are making the usual NHST error of thinking a significant difference means your theory is true.