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Early editions of The Population Bomb began with the statement: The battle to feed all of humanity is over. In the 1970s hundreds of millions of people will st
by kbutler 9y ago
Early editions of The Population Bomb began with the statement:
The battle to feed all of humanity is over. In the 1970s hundreds of millions of people will starve to death in spite of any crash programs embarked upon now. At this late date nothing can prevent a substantial increase in the world death rate
- DennisP 9y agoEven if he completely missed the possibility of dramatically increased food production, it's irrelevant to my point, which is that there's no realistic way for him to be wrong in the same way about this new claim. I guess you could argue that because he's demonstrated that he can't perfectly predict the future, we shouldn't pay attention to anything he says, but in that case we shouldn't pay attention to anyone.
- kbutler 9y agoI'd say that, because he has demonstrated a willingness to exaggerate predictions and maintain them in spite of evidence to the contrary and even direct falsification, I consider his predictions to have no predictive power. The informational content is incidental, the analysis is suspect.