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The abstract is more informative than the press coverage: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/aenm.201700345/abstract http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi
by philipkglass 9y ago
The abstract is more informative than the press coverage:
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/aenm.201700345/abstract http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/aenm.201700345/ab...
The cell is assembled in a mini-module with a geometric concentration ratio of 744 suns on a two-axis tracking system and demonstrated a combined module efficiency of 41.2%, measured outdoors in Durham, NC. Taking into account the measured transmission of the optics gives an implied cell efficiency of 44.5%.
Since this is a concentrating cell, compare to the concentrator cell records tracked on NREL's PV efficiency records chart:
https://www.nrel.gov/pv/assets/images/efficiency-chart.png https://www.nrel.gov/pv/assets/images/efficiency-chart.png
The current record for 4-junction-or-more concentrator cells is 46.0%. This isn't a record-setting cell even if the implied efficiency holds up under standardized test conditions.
This cell like all high-concentration cells is unlikely to see mass market acceptance on Earth. The module needs precise two-axis sun tracking to work effectively even under perfect clear-sky conditions. That's significantly more expensive than fixed arrays or single-axis sun tracking as used by conventional large scale PV. And there's a vicious feedback loop: since two-axis tracking is significantly more expensive, it doesn't get developed/scaled, so the cost gap gets even wider over time WRT its competitors.
But that's not actually the worst problem of high-concentration PV for terrestrial use. The worst problem is that HCPV can use only direct normal irradiance. Ordinary non-concentrating PV cells produce very nearly 25% of its rated output if it receives 25% of test-condition illumination under non-ideal conditions (due to some combination of clouds, air pollution haze, dusty glass, etc.) Concentrating cells will produce close to 0% of rated output under the same non-ideal conditions. Few regions have clear enough skies to work with HCPV, but those same regions tend to be dusty, which the concentrating optics cannot tolerate. Mechanical and optical complications make HCPV higher-maintenance than ordinary flat PV and more expensive to install initially.
That's why there were a dozen+ companies working on concentrating PV in 2008 and all of them are now bankrupt or have exited HCPV manufacturing. Eking out another cell-level improvement wouldn't have rescued the value proposition of their complete systems. The refined polysilicon price spike that made exotic technologies look briefly promising only lasted a few years and then it became clear again that crystalline silicon is very hard to beat.
- mark-r 9y agoI wonder if it wouldn't have more luck in outer space applications? Perhaps not if the optics add much weight for the amount of power produced.
- philipkglass 9y agoIn orbit you wouldn't have to worry about dust or clouds, to be sure. But keeping pointed exactly at the sun could still be a pain. As far as I know there are no spacecraft using concentrating PV for power, though spacecraft do commonly use multi-junction cells similar to these without concentration. Space applications are very conservative due to the high cost of hardware and the small fraction of the total budget represented by the PV power system. Cutting another 30% from PV system cost is outstanding if you're building utility-scale PV projects on Earth, but down in the noise if you're building communication satellites.
- knodi123 9y ago> The abstract is more informative than the press coverage: Isn't that usually the case? :-(
- philipkglass 9y agoWhen there's a really good technical improvement in an area, and few compromises required to make the improvement, then the press release, the abstract, and the full article can be about equally informative to someone wondering whether or not the touted breakthrough actually matters. Here's an example with a genuinely impressive improved flow battery chemistry from Harvard: https://www.seas.harvard.edu/news/2017/02/long-lasting-flow-battery-could-run-for-more-than-decade-with-minimum-upkeep https://www.seas.harvard.edu/news/2017/02/long-lasting-flow-... When the good news is a mixed bag, like this article under discussion (high efficiency solar cell... but not a record setter and touted numbers required concentrated sunlight) then the abstract is more informative than the press release. When the "good" news required severe compromises on one or more key axes, then both the abstract and the press release (if there is one) will usually hide the important compromises. It's fun to guess which common pitfall the reported advance fell into before you read the full paper that reveals the bad news not found in the PR/abstract. Caveat: if the press release is about something that the general public can't contextualize easily -- metrology, basic research before applications, algorithms... -- then the press office rolls a die to randomly determine whether they should claim that the new advance may one day cure diseases, cure pollution, or make your cell phone run longer between recharges.