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From the article: > We don’t know why people stopped moving and became more settled in their work arrangements. We don’t know why the returns to incumbency hav
by throwawayjava 9y ago
From the article: > We don’t know why people stopped
moving and became more settled in their
work arrangements. We don’t know why the returns to incumbency have increased.
What if the answer is the obvious one? What if the incumbents in the big cities are full of more efficient, better educated, richer, and smarter people?
A lot of big companies suck. But the ones that have concentrated wealth in the past decade or two -- Google, Facebook, Apple, Amazon -- are remarkably good at what they do. And the people I know who work at those places are, on balance, remarkably smart/educated/efficient. There are equally good or even better people at smaller shops in smaller cities, to be sure, but the sheer number of great engineers at Microsoft and Google alone is mind-boggling. And even among small shops there's an enormous geographical concentration of talent.
I don't know a lot about other industries, but maybe this is true elsewhere in the economy as well.
If that's true -- that incumbents aren't just big but also better -- then I fear our only hope for increased dynamism is access to new markets or new technologies. Both of which are identified in the report as contributors to decreasing dynamism. Hm.
- maxerickson 9y agoThose companies don't really employ very many people. They won't explain widespread demographic trends. (In fact, I imagine they tend to counter the specific trend, attracting people to high paying jobs)
- throwawayjava 9y ago> They won't explain widespread demographic trends I know this, but I wonder if the same thing is happening in other industries. E.g. is Monsanto doing something similar to small seed distributors/providers? Are large banks doing something similar to small credit unions? Are large construction firms doing something similar to smaller ones? > In fact, I imagine they tend to counter the specific trend, attracting people to high paying jobs Maybe. But what if these firms are really so efficient that they're replacing 100 migrants to regional hubs with 10 or even 1 migrant to a national/global hub? Again, I'm just asking questions :)