From my personal experience: - No one knows shit about they are talking about (As a corollary of life's too complex for the human mind. Or the fact that there a

From my personal experience: - No one knows shit about they are talking about (As a corollary of life's too complex for the human mind. Or the fact that there are plenty of black swans) You may be THE expert on whatever subject.... and you'll never know all your variables. It's imposible to always be right. It's useless to pretend so (unless you are selling something). Examples??? you'll find them in the news all the time. Subprime crisis, BP spills, etc Do not believe what you are told. Take it as OPINIONS. And decide from that.