>...one black swan event away... I read the book a long time ago, so I might be remembering it incorrectly, but aren't all nations just "one black swan event a

>...one black swan event away... I read the book a long time ago, so I might be remembering it incorrectly, but aren't all nations just "one black swan event away" from something? The idea is that you can't predict it and only makes sense when looking back.