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While Bayesian models are reasonably good in estimating such chances (and be dramatically reverted with new contradicting observations), they can't tell us the
by atemerev 9y ago
While Bayesian models are reasonably good in estimating such chances (and be dramatically reverted with new contradicting observations), they can't tell us the exact reason why such arrangement exists.
Which is the core of Fermi paradox, and therefore it still stands.
- honestoHeminway 9y agoMy personal guess is that complex live needs a long time to develop and also stable conditions during this long time- which basically rules out a lot of systems with sporadic, subtile deathbringers. That plus a vicious streak to evolution, allowing for developing of fast counter measures to any sentient species. (Any bird, carrying the plague, would have the world to itself.) might account for alot of the silence.