7 ms·
They are a middleman that could be easily bypassed by bigger players, and investors are calling them out on that. Also, customer retention and cost of customer
by code4tee 9y ago
They are a middleman that could be easily bypassed by bigger players, and investors are calling them out on that. Also, customer retention and cost of customer acquisition remains a big issue.
No reason why Amazon couldn't just tack on nice recipes to their food delivery service and the acquisition of Whole Foods makes that direction even more likely. Blue Apron is in a dangerous and precarious spot and that's being reflected in the lowering of valuations.
We're going to see more "disrupters being disrupted" as value chain consolidation continues to evolve.
- treehau5 9y agoIronically, part of their pitch to customers is "By cutting out the middle man and delivering ingredients at their freshest." I also see it from my own perspective: As blue apron gets millennials cooking again, more and more of them will remember what the grocery store was for -- as they will now experiment with recipes on their own, buy their own ingredients, maybe attend a farmers market or two and meet the growers of their food and support local farms. As grocery stores become more convenient to check in/out, Blue Apron's value goes further and further down.
- kchoudhu 9y agoIs it just me, or has every farmer's market I've ever been to been a terrible disappointment? The produce isn't as reliable as a good grocery store, and when it is, there's never enough of it. Sample size: New York (Brooklyn and Manhattan) and Los Angeles. FWIW, cooking isn't an interesting side hobby for me: I cook pretty every meal my family eats from scratch, and it's hard enough planning and executing 21 meals a week without dealing with artisinal suppliers.
- timmaah 9y agoJust you. Some smaller towns farmer's markets are amazing.
- virmundi 9y agoPoint 1: that probably depends on your farm's markets. Indianapolis has one ever Wednesday. Being in the heart of the heartland, it's pretty good. Down side is it closes too early for folk that work on the ring of Indy (I465 to downtown is about 30 minutes, so it's hard to hit up on a lunch HOUR). Point 2: I'm working on getting that 21 meals planned fixed. Unfortunately, it's just me and my wife, who's a Social Worker by training. Going to be a while since it literally took me 4 months to get the security system in place. Look for a Shown HN.
- rm_-rf_slash 9y agoIthaca has a great farmers market, lots of pop-up farmers markets, and even a lot of farm shares around the community. What are you thinking expecting major metropolitan areas to be good places for farmers markets? Although I'm told the one in Seattle is supposedly legendary...
- ajacksified 9y agoI cook most of the meals as well. I do 90% of my shopping at traditional grocery stores, and use the weekly farmer's market as a way to experiment over the weekends. At least in SF, they're high quality and typically have a wide variety of things I wouldn't find (or buy) in grocery stores. We have a few kids, so it's nice to have a reliable menu throughout the week, then do something fun like a smorgasboard of oysters, salads, bread, and cheeses for lunch on a Saturday, crab tacos for dinner, and omelettes the next morning. The constraints enforced by seasonality and the availability of atypical ingredients is refreshing.
- kchoudhu 9y agoThis is pretty much our household. As an aside, it's interesting to see how others introduce new foods to the rotating menu. I'm pretty conservative: cook a new dish and serve it on the side on night T, and if it works, it becomes the main dish on T+1.
- ams6110 9y agoI cook most of my meals also but find recipes too troublesome. Meat, veggies, some oil in a hot pan. 10 minutes, done. Sometimes a roast if I have the time.
- tsunamifury 9y agoBay Area and Los Angeles (Echo Park) both have farmers market in spades that blow away the local grocery stores. You need to look for local farmer's markets, not the faux-distributor's ones. I think what you need to know about Farmer's Markets is that you must buy (can only buy) in-season produce. While this might disappoint the regular grocery shopper who is used to bad tomatoes in December, to the the chef, its a great delight to be able to pick from only the right season's produce.
- treehau5 9y agoThere are farmers markets where you have local farmers come together as part of a co-op or some other organization and sell their produce, and then you have "farmers" markets which are basically outdoor grocery stores that sell the same things in your big chain grocery stores. You have to go to a "real" farmers market. The best way to tell is check out where all the delivery trucks are and read some of the boxes. If you see "product of California"" or "product of Mexico" on many of the boxes and you are in a farmers market no where near Mexico or California, you are at an outdoor grocery store.
- brookside 9y agoThe outdoor grocery store version (however fake and lame) addresses the exact issues parent sees. Real farmers markets will have a limited and seasonal supply of produce.
- antognini 9y agoI used to think that there was no point in going to a farmer's market. But I went to one for the first time in Columbus, Ohio and bought some blackberries. I remember very distinctly waiting for the bus to go home, eating one of the blackberries, and thinking, "Oh, so this is why there are farmer's markets."
- kchoudhu 9y agoI've had this experience as well, but usually about 400 miles away from where I live. It's a shame.
- bradleyjg 9y agoIt isn't meant to be as reliable. There is only supposed to be corn or apple or blueberries at your local farmers market for the relatively short period of time every year when they are in season where you live. Instead of going to the farmers market with a list of ingredients for what you want to make, you are supposed to go and see ingredients are available and plan meals accordingly. Compared to the modern supermarket where everything is available all the time it is certainly a pain in the neck. But in exchange you (sometimes) get produce that's so much better than the visually flawless but tasteless items you often get in a supermarket that it doesn't even seem like the same plant.
- kchoudhu 9y ago> you are supposed to go and see ingredients are available and plan meals accordingly Farmers markets are not part of a serious urban domestic supply chain where reliability matters. They are for fun, and that is ok! I love picking up a weird jar of flavored honey or some fresh blackberries for snacking. I just wish people would stop suggesting that farmer's markets are some kind of solution to all that ails the urban cook. I get the urge to go back to simpler times when people spent two hours shopping before spending all day over the stove, but by and large, I think it's silly. We've moved on, and the number of people that turn up unannounced at our home for a warm evening meal tells me that even the degraded produce in markets today is more than sufficient to produce great meals.
- spodek 9y agoSorry to hear your experience. Mine is the opposite. I live between the Union Square and Abington Square farmers markets in Manhattan. Delicious food Great variety Low prices in season Friendly farmers They've made nearly all grocery stores into disappointments. I get over 90% of my food from them and my CSA. Plus I bring my compost there. Because of them I cook nearly everything from scratch, with ingredients picked around 24 hours before I bought them. Shopping at those farmers markets, and picking up my CSA delivery is the highlight of my week: I can't wait to see what I'm going to love eating.
- kchoudhu 9y agoI don't want surprises, I want reliability. And I definitely don't want to drag my compost through lower Manhattan.
- emodendroket 9y agoNothing wrong with that but I think you're showing up at the wrong place. It's like going to a flea market; novelty and maybe deals are the point more than knowing they're going to have whatever it is you need.
- kchoudhu 9y agoYup, I've said as much elsewhere in this thread. Good for fun treats, not so good for the urban resident trying to get a cooked dinner in front of his family every meal.
- spodek 9y ago> not so good for the urban resident trying to get a cooked dinner in front of his family every meal. Vegetables from the farm is how I create meals every day, plus legumes and nuts from the bulk food store, probably 90+% of my calories. I don't buy packaged food. My vegetables come from the farmers market and farm share. I bring compost through Manhattan because I love living here and the alternative is putting it into landfills, which I'm not willing to do. It means carrying a few pounds a few blocks maybe once a month to where I was going anyway to get vegetables that are more delicious, healthy, and cheap than any alternative. These are all improvements to my life.
- overcast 9y agoCome to Rochester, NY. Our public market is AWESOME. Super cheap, tons of quality produce.
- notyourday 9y agoUnion Sq market on Saturday blows every grocery store away, catches it on a way out, and blows it away again but that's probably the only farmers market that has the scale and popularity needed to replace a large section of a grocery store
- jawilson2 9y agoThe Madison, WI farmer's market is incredible[1]. They block off the entire capital building, and thousands of people go. That was my and my wife's Saturday morning tradition for years while we were in grad school, and we still go back a few times a year. http://dcfm.org/markets/saturday-on-the-square http://dcfm.org/markets/saturday-on-the-square
- treehau5 9y agoI feel you on cooking not being a hobby. However where it clicked for me: Once I got good enough at it, I realized I could 80-90% of the time cook food that tasted way better and was a lot cheaper than what I could find out at a restaurant. Then it didn't become a matter of hobby but a matter of practicality. Some of my own personal specialities: Omelettes and steak. Almost every restaurant I have been to has no idea how to properly execute an omelette. They are suppose to be light and fluffy, not wrapped-up scrambled eggs. Also, most restaurants have no idea how to grill a steak, especially if it is a thick cut. When you learn about the reverse sear technique, you'll never waste money buying a 50$ steak dinner out again. The only other problem left at this point is the efficiency equation -- can I think of, buy and then execute on the ingredients faster than it takes for me to drive, get seated, and eat my meal at a restaurant. I am finding the more I do it, the more the answer becomes: yes.
- ghaff 9y agoReverse sear is effectively doing something similar to using sous vide. It works very well. The only time I go to steak places is for business dinners as they often seem one of the defaults for high-endish places to take customers. But I basically never go on my own. They're generally pretty boring and steak is something I can make easily at home. When I go to fancier restaurants I usually have something that would be way too fussy for me to make at home or that I simply couldn't do a good job of.
- treehau5 9y agoI'm the exact same way. There is a very scientific and analytical aspect of cooking that people miss out on and I think would appeal to many more here on HN. Baking is the ultimate example in my opinion of you must get everything perfect -- measurements, mixture, consistency, and cook time. It's applied physics. Plus, the best part is you get yummy treats to enjoy afterwards as your reward.
- ghaff 9y agoThat's true but it's actually why I'm usually more of a cooking person than a baking person :-) Sous vide and reverse sear notwithstanding, I tend to be more improvisational than someone who carefully follows recipes.
- mikestew 9y agoIronically, part of their pitch to customers is "By cutting out the middle man and delivering ingredients at their freshest." If that’s actually the pitch, I’m...astounded. Unless they’re in the field picking this shit themselves, they’re the very definition of “middle-man”. If they want to make themselves feel better, call it “value added reseller”, but you’re still a middle-man. And maybe they are out there, in the field at the crack o’. But I have my doubts.
- klipt 9y agoI imagine the middle man they're claiming to cut out is the restaurant. Because with these services, you're the restaurant!
- marrone12 9y agoWell the middle man they are cutting out is food distributors. Most farmers sell their food to a distributor, who then sells that food to grocery stores. Blue Apron contracts directly with farmers.
- Yhippa 9y agoI haven't tried Blue Apron or any of Amazon's meal delivery services but I do use one of BA's competitors. I don't have the time to plan multiple meals a week for every week of the year. I don't want to make one big meal at the start of the week and eat leftovers for the rest of the week. Furthermore fresh ingredients get delivered to you in the right portions. When I've done this in the past I end up with way more ingredients than I need that end up getting thrown out. These services also give you a way to quickly try a meal out and decide if you like it or not to make it again in the future. If so you keep the recipe card. There is absolutely value in these meal services. I think it's likely that Amazon and Whole Foods can replicate this process though and they will be able to drive down costs due to their distribution power and economies of scale.
- vkou 9y ago"Furthermore fresh ingredients get delivered to you in the right portions. When I've done this in the past I end up with way more ingredients than I need that end up getting thrown out." Unless you're throwing out ~60% of the ingredients you buy, surely grocery shopping (Or, if you don't want to shop, grocery delivery services) are more economical. It's also probably better for the environment, given the amount of packaging that goes into Blue Apron meals.
- ghaff 9y agoYep. Sure I end up throwing out scallions and parsley that are past their prime but I'm pretty sure I still come out ahead in terms of price versus meal kits. That said, the waste argument in the other direction also seems overblown (all the plastic bags etc. that BA and many of its competitors use). I'm pretty sure that if you looked at the carbon footprint--or whatever measure you want to use--for Chinese takeout or other prepared food options that people don't think twice about versus "wasteful" BA, you'd probably find those other options were a heck of a lot worse. (I agree BA is probably somewhat wasteful compared to regular grocery delivery but I'm betting it's pretty small potatoes in the scheme of things.)
- deleted 9y ago[deleted]
- wonder_bread 9y agoI am very curious what Salzberg has to say about this. They do seem to have done a good job out-maneuvering the direct competition. However, looking through their website, it does seem hard to find a niche they can play when the inevitable 'me-too' introduction from a behemoth comes. It's also kind of comical how they preach the "Eliminating the costly middleman" card even though all they've really done is become their own version of a costly middleman.
- toomuchtodo 9y ago> It's also kind of comical how they preach the "Eliminating the costly middleman" card even though all they've really done is become their own version of a costly middleman. Without sounding crass or like a broken record, thats all most of Silicon Valley startups are: the new middleman. More efficient, sure, but still a middleman. I believe the colloquial term is "platform".
- wonder_bread 9y agoGood point
- elgenie 9y ago"Eliminating the costly middleman" can be read more honestly as "Eliminating the costlier middleman that adds little value in favor of ourselves, a (theoretically) less costly middleman that adds more value".
- eldavido 9y agoIf by "even though all they've really done", you mean, (1) They've opened several proprietary warehouses, (2) They've developed direct sourcing relationships with numerous farms, cutting out any distributors/wholesalers/etc, (3) They've hired chefs to figure out how to take real-time supply data from (2) and convert it into recipes, with the right portions, that account for seasonality, weather, and other supply variations, (4) They've executed a consumer marketing campaign that's led to over 159 million meals served across 25 million orders then sure yeah, they're just a "costly middleman". I don't use this service, but you might try reading their S-1. It contains a lot of interesting commentary on their strategy, and hard data on the business. I don't know whether this thing will be worth its IPO price, or have a lot of upside when it goes public, but I do think there's space in the market for a company that handles all the logistics and gets the exact right quantity of stuff on your table. Per their S-1, 21% of all food purchased in the US is thrown out - that's plenty of room for innovation. Also, consider that they've done all this on $195 million vs. $675 million blown by Instacart. I know for sure which one I'm more impressed by, but you be the judge.
- SeeDave 9y agoAmazon already offers subscription-less premium mealkits via a partnership with Martha Stewart/Marley Spoon [1] and more affordable options via their Tyson Tastemakers partnership [2]. [1] https://www.amazon.com/b?ie=UTF8&node=14828691011 https://www.amazon.com/b?ie=UTF8&node=14828691011 [2] https://www.amazon.com/b?ie=UTF8&node=16207550011 https://www.amazon.com/b?ie=UTF8&node=16207550011
- mr_tristan 9y agoThe Whole Foods supply chain, which does a fantastic job of transparency, is often glossed over. It's hard to deliver the kinds of information they do at the scale they're at. I'm talking about things like what farm the produce came from, how was this beef finished, etc. I'm often amazed that even at farmer's markets, I don't get this information. I sense Amazon will consider how they can build off of that supply chain to open up new opportunities. One of these opportunities might be different meal kit services. For comparison, Blue Apron claims they have 150 farms. But I can't find anywhere, for example, what farm produced the produce for any particular meal. Maybe the information is there, but I suspect produce is mixed together in order to ensure the supply of each menu just works. So, a WF-based supply should be able to use a the "local" tag on their meal kits and create a much more distinctive differentiation. Meal kits will be popular, but I don't sense there will need to be a large national distribution. Even Amazon will probably need to contend with regional and local providers. But Amazon does a good job of being a business platform, such that they might be the place a local business could source the ingredients and distribute to customers. I don't see how larger companies like Blue Apron could become platforms.
- sp332 9y agoI'm talking about things like what farm the produce came from, how was this beef finished, etc. I'm often amazed that even at farmer's markets, I don't get this information. Then you're not really at a farmers' market, are you? At mine I look at the sign and it tells me what farm's table I'm standing in front of.
- sweettea 9y agoMany "farmer's markets" do not prohibit resellers; it's a major problem for both customers and farmers.
- SmellTheGlove 9y agoYou would be surprised as to how much stuff sold at a farmers market wasn't grown at the farm whose stand you're in front of. At least around here, they're not cheap - there's a strong incentive to buy whatever you don't grow so that you can sell it at the farmers market. It's crossed my mind more than once to go into Shaw's, buy a bunch of stuff, and sell it at the farmers market that sets up in that very same parking lot every Saturday. Given that our supermarkets even sell local stuff, I can still call locally grown and not be lying to anyone.
- criley2 9y ago>No reason why Amazon couldn't just tack on nice recipes to their food delivery service and the acquisition of Whole Foods makes that direction even more likely. Blue Apron is in a dangerous and precarious spot and that's being reflected in the lowering of valuations. It's a lot more complicated than this and it's distressing you reduced it so much. The expansion for Amazon would be dramatic and expensive. Right now, Amazon is a warehouse business that re-sells food products which already pass regulation and inspection. You're talking about Amazon becoming a food business that prepares uncooked food and re-sells food, which must be regulated and inspected. These services don't just send you a prepackaged spice container, they individually portion out most of the spices, oils, liquids, creams, etc etc into exact amounts needed. I guess Amazon could try and find a supplier which would buy high quality ingredients and spices for precise repackaging, but one thing is for sure: it's far more complicated than "add recipes to prepackaged food delivery business"
- code4tee 9y agoYes, but they just started the process of acquiring Whole Foods which does the prepared food thing quite well. I'm sure Amazon would tap into that. It's no longer just a "dry goods in warehouse" business.
- criley2 9y agoThis I can absolutely see. Amazon has WholeFood's staff prepare what are essentially Blue Apron boxes. Produce, meat, and the deli can pre-portion the specific spices and ingredients for each recipe choice. And then AmazonRestaurants/AmazonNow uber competitor can same day (next hour!) deliver it to you. That's a real product strategy there. It's noon, you're texting your wife about dinner, you're both having a stressful day, you order a Amazon/WholeFoods dinner for four.
- stickfigure 9y agoThis makes me think of what could be a Blue Apron killer from Whole Foods/Amazon: Sell the whole package, not individual servings. A dozen eggs; a half-liter of olive oil, the shaker of paprika, etc. Then, when new recipes come up, the customer typically only needs one or two things; you can track what bulk items they've recently purchased and suggest that maybe they want to reorder a new bottle. Yeah, the first couple orders might be expensive, but it would quickly turn into a groove where most delivery items are perishables, and the overall cost would be less. If I lived slightly farther away from a supermarket than I do (1 block), I would totally subscribe to a service like this. This probably isn't much of a stretch from supermarket delivery services that have reorder options - if WF/A doesn't have that already in the works, I expect they will soon. It really just coordinates it with a menu-of-the-day service. And if WF/A is smart, they'll make an API for this so anyone with menu-of-the-day inspiration can create their own startup built on the food delivery platform and take a small cut. I don't see this ending well for Blue Apron.
- ProAm 9y agoAmazon would end up having a lot of counterfeit ingredients at the end of the day.
- deegles 9y agoAmazon Go already sells "meals in a box." It's only a matter of time before Whole Foods Express (called it) totally takes the wind out of their sails.