meredydd's specifically voicing concern with decision markets, not prediction markets. Hanson's Futarchy paper outlines the difference (alas, wikipedia unhelpfu

meredydd's specifically voicing concern with decision markets, not prediction markets. Hanson's Futarchy paper outlines the difference (alas, wikipedia unhelpfully treats them as synonyms). Hanson's "Adventure 1" is quite a bit more specific than "improving our prediction making ability" (which of course could unlock tremendous value).