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Hm... I guess I would have a lot more respect for this author's claim about the predictability of the rise of populism if she(?) has predicted it. Perhaps she
by jmull 9y ago
Hm... I guess I would have a lot more respect for this author's claim about the predictability of the rise of populism if she(?) has predicted it.
Perhaps she did, but this paper is dated this month.
Not to mention, prediction by itself isn't worth much. Seeing it coming isn't too useful if you can't do something to change course. And being able to change course isn't useful if you can't find a better alternative to change course to.
Globalization didn't arise out of policy decisions. It was a natural consequence of improvements in information technology and transportation technology (exponential in the case of IT). China isn't some distant land. It's our next door neighbor and has a view straight into our living room. Policy can guide or mitigate globalization, but it can't stop it. You would have to roll back the changes in information and transportation to roll globalization back and that might be worse than the cure.
IMO, we should be focusing on policy that will prevent the benefits of globalization accruing only to people at the top, and not on stopping globalization.