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How could one tell if a vote is "reluctant" or not, based on the available data?
by timdavila 9y ago
How could one tell if a vote is "reluctant" or not, based on the available data?
- rwc 9y agoMore often than not, this data is collected in the millions of phone calls and door-to-door visits conducted by volunteers.
- anigbrowl 9y agoLots of ways. Perhaps you know they're a super-loyal Republican voter and you have things that correlate with that, such as willingness to vote when presented with an online poll. You might know they were reluctant because the person shifted between the available alternatives during primary season - perhaps supporting Jeb! Bush, then Marco rubio, then Ted Cruz, then John Kasich, before finally falling into line when Trump won the nomination. You could then infer that Trump was the absolute last choice but that they would still 'hold their nose' and vote for him in the general election, either due to loyalty to GOP on particular policy issues or because of some long-standing hatred of Hillary Clinton, or just a history of being very conformist in political matters (as many, many people are).