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Formatted: RNC_RegID State 2012ObamaVoter_DRA_12_16 2012RomneyVoter_DRA_12_16 2016ClintonVoter_DRA_12_16 2016T

Formatted: RNC_RegID State 2012ObamaVoter_DRA_12_16 2012RomneyVoter_DRA_12_16 2016ClintonVoter_DRA_12_16 2016TrumpVoter_DRA_12_16 AmericaFirstForeignPolicy_agree_DRA_12_16 AmericaFirstForeignPolicy_disagree_DRA_12_16 AutoCompaniesShipJobsOverseas_agree_DRA_12_16 AutoCompaniesShipJobsOverseas_disagree_DRA_12_16 CorpReputs_AmericanMakers_DRA_12_16 CorpReputs_DailyLives_DRA_12_16 CorpReputs_Egalitarians_DRA_12_16 CorpReputs_EnviroConscious_DRA_12_16 CorpReputs_OpportunitySeekers_DRA_12_16 CorpReputs_STEMSupporters_DRA_12_16 CorpReputs_SupplyChainers_DRA_12_16 CorpReputs_Unifers_DRA_12_16 DemLeadersStandUpToTrump_DRA_12_16 DemLeadersWorkWithTrump_DRA_12_16 DParty_DRA_12_16 FinancialServicesHarmful_agree_DRA_12_16 FinancialServicesHarmful_disagree_DRA_12_16 FinServicesCompany_Dreamers_DRA_12_16 FinServicesCompany_RiskMitigators_DRA_12_16 FossilFuelsImportantForUSEnergySecurity_DRA_12_16 FossilFuelsNeedToMoveAwayFrom_DRA_12_16 InvestInfrastructure_agree_DRA_12_16 InvestInfrastructure_disagree_DRA_12_16 LowerTaxes_agree_DRA_12_16 LowerTaxes_disagree_DRA_12_16 NonReluctantDJTVoter_DRA_12_16 NonReluctantHRCVoter_DRA_12_16 PharmaCompsDoGreatDamage_agree_DRA_12_16 PharmaCompsDoGreatDamage_disagree_DRA_12_16 ReformGovtRegulations_agree_DRA_12_16 ReformGovtRegulations_disagree_DRA_12_16 ReluctantDJT_Above.5_DRA_12_16 ReluctantHRCVoter_DRA_12_16 RepealObamacare_agree_DRA_12_16 RepealObamacare_disagree_DRA_12_16 RParty_DRA_12_16 StopIllegalImmigration_agree_DRA_12_16 StopIllegalImmigration_disagree_DRA_12_16 TrumpStandUpToDems_DRA_12_16 TrumpWorkWithDems_DRA_12_16 USAFinancialSituation_Optimistic_DRA_12_16 USAFinancialSituation_Pessimistic_DRA_12

timdavila 9y ago
How could one tell if a vote is "reluctant" or not, based on the available data?
- rwc 9y ago
  More often than not, this data is collected in the millions of phone calls and door-to-door visits conducted by volunteers.
- anigbrowl 9y ago
  Lots of ways. Perhaps you know they're a super-loyal Republican voter and you have things that correlate with that, such as willingness to vote when presented with an online poll. You might know they were reluctant because the person shifted between the available alternatives during primary season - perhaps supporting Jeb! Bush, then Marco rubio, then Ted Cruz, then John Kasich, before finally falling into line when Trump won the nomination. You could then infer that Trump was the absolute last choice but that they would still 'hold their nose' and vote for him in the general election, either due to loyalty to GOP on particular policy issues or because of some long-standing hatred of Hillary Clinton, or just a history of being very conformist in political matters (as many, many people are).

timdavila 9y ago

How could one tell if a vote is "reluctant" or not, based on the available data?

rwc 9y ago
More often than not, this data is collected in the millions of phone calls and door-to-door visits conducted by volunteers.
anigbrowl 9y ago
Lots of ways. Perhaps you know they're a super-loyal Republican voter and you have things that correlate with that, such as willingness to vote when presented with an online poll. You might know they were reluctant because the person shifted between the available alternatives during primary season - perhaps supporting Jeb! Bush, then Marco rubio, then Ted Cruz, then John Kasich, before finally falling into line when Trump won the nomination. You could then infer that Trump was the absolute last choice but that they would still 'hold their nose' and vote for him in the general election, either due to loyalty to GOP on particular policy issues or because of some long-standing hatred of Hillary Clinton, or just a history of being very conformist in political matters (as many, many people are).