4 ms·
The final probability of A being released is indeed 1/3. The second part of the article just attempts to nail down the specific fallacy in A's reasoning, which
by strangecasts 9y ago
The final probability of A being released is indeed 1/3.
The second part of the article just attempts to nail down the specific fallacy in A's reasoning, which is also helpful in explaining the Monty Hall problem (which makes the guard's orders implicit rather than explicit)