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I have a somewhat contrarian prediction for Moore's Law. I think the next wave or two of innovation will obliterate the current progress of Moore's Law. Yes,
by sixQuarks 9y ago
I have a somewhat contrarian prediction for Moore's Law. I think the next wave or two of innovation will obliterate the current progress of Moore's Law.
Yes, Moore's law may seem to be slowing down right now, but all you need to do is look at the size, energy consumption, and ability of a human brain to realize that nature has blindly created a much more advanced "technology" than what we currently have.
Next, look at flying. Birds are nature's most advanced flying machines. We've been able to expand on that to the point where we have jets and even reusable rockets that can go a thousand times faster than the fastest bird.
Right now, computing is at the "man puts big flaps on his arms and jumps off high ledge" point. Once we figure out the "first airplane", AKA wright brothers moment, Moore's law will explode.