4 ms·

I guess, but I am one external event away from dying on my drive to work too.

• Florin_Andrei 9y ago
  Sure. Just a lot less probable.
  • arcticfox 9y ago
    Alex only does dangerous free solos on rare occasions. He's certainly vastly more likely to die on one than the average person on the average day, but the fact that he only does it rarely is how he's still alive at all. Nobody really knows exactly what type of risk he's taking, but my rough guess is that he's probably on the order of ~10x an average mortality rate (which is 1.5% / yr among males his age). Whether that's insane or not is up to an individual. For me, it's a rare combination of crazy and rational, which I find fascinating.
    • ghshephard 9y ago
      Your average mortality rate is off by 10x. Mortality rate for a 31 year old in the United States is 104/100,000 or 0.104%/year. https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/dvs/mortfinal2007_worktable23r.pdf https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/dvs/mortfinal2007_worktable23r...
      • arcticfox 9y ago
        Ah, so that would make my estimate ~100x. Thanks