To paraphrase Bertrand Russell, a turkey can think the farmer is its best friend for months, until Thanksgiving comes along. We already live in a society that

To paraphrase Bertrand Russell, a turkey can think the farmer is its best friend for months, until Thanksgiving comes along. We already live in a society that is anomalous compared to the long stretch of history that came before it, with tech progress starting to look like an exponential curve. On this basis, it seems pretty bold to reason by induction like the delicious turkey mentioned above. Perhaps predictions of the end of history have always been false, but it only takes one instance. Even if it doesn't happen, there can still be a massive wave of human misery to deal with.