3 ms·

how can you, possibly, know this? conjectures about AI takeoff are just conjectures, but you claim to know that it "won't be something that springs up on us."

• pixl97 9y ago
  >conjectures about AI takeoff are just conjectures, That's not actually true. It has happened, or I should say it is happening right now on Earth. For around 63 million years in the dominion of mammals there was not an intelligence explosion. And then, quite surprisingly if you look at the history of evolution, the line that would become Homo sapiens rapidly diverged from the rest of its family. As its intelligence increased it rapidly started rendering all large life on Earth extinct to become an apex predator that all other significantly sized life on the planet lives at its will. This take off was so rapid and complete that Homo sapiens was not only able to conquer every biome on the planet, it was able to leave the planet itself. Massive alterations to biosphere occurred as its numbers swelled to over 5 billion. Almost every waterway on Earth has had significant alterations occur do to human development. Land use and forestation on the planet rapidly changed, with a majority of the changes occurring in a 300 year period. So, Intelligence Explosions are not conjectures, we are in the middle of our own. Furthermore it seems unlikely that human design is the pinnacle of intelligence. Unfortunately we are left with a lot of questions, and fewer answers than we would like at this point. Just defining levels of intelligence at this point seems to be a debate that leads to arguments and heightened emotions.