4 ms·

Reduction relative to current temperature, or relative to projections of global temperature 100 years from now if we do nothing?

• akvadrako 9y ago
  I haven't looked at this specific calculation, but at the current levels of CO2, which won't go down in 100 years, Earth will reach a temperature equilibrium about 2°C higher than now. Unless our science is totally wrong, without environmental engineering, it must be relative to business as usual. And here is the source of the claim: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1758-5899.12295/full http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1758-5899.12295/f...
  • zzalpha 9y ago
    Ah, thank you! So rather than try to rebut this myself, I'll let someone qualified do it: http://www.lse.ac.uk/GranthamInstitute/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Working-Paper-218-Ward-2015.pdf http://www.lse.ac.uk/GranthamInstitute/wp-content/uploads/20... And also: https://thinkprogress.org/bjorn-lomborgs-new-paper-appears-to-have-no-basis-in-fact-f414ccafca08 https://thinkprogress.org/bjorn-lomborgs-new-paper-appears-t...
    • akvadrako 9y ago
      I think that 2nd critique is spot on. I tried reading his paper yesterday and thought the graphs looked rather strange, with weird transitions in 2030, when he assumed all CO2 reduction efforts would stop. Wikipedia isn't very nice to him either: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bjørn_Lomborg#Formal_accusations_of_scientific_dishonesty https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bjørn_Lomborg#Formal_accusatio...