Silver's analysis probably overstates the impact of the Comey letter: > it’s now clear that Mrs. Clinton was weaker heading into Oct. 28 than was understood a

Silver's analysis probably overstates the impact of the Comey letter: > it’s now clear that Mrs. Clinton was weaker heading into Oct. 28 than was understood at the time. Several other polls were conducted over the same period that showed Mr. Trump gaining quickly on Mrs. Clinton in the days ahead of the Comey letter. And the timing of these polls — particularly the gap between when they were taken and when they were released — has probably helped to exaggerate the effect of Mr. Comey’s letter on the presidential race https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/08/upshot/a-2016-review-theres-reason-to-be-skeptical-of-a-comey-effect.html https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/08/upshot/a-2016-review-ther...