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There's actually very little information about the problems that climate change will cause. We're pretty bad at modelling political effects, especially not deca
by averagewall 9y ago
There's actually very little information about the problems that climate change will cause. We're pretty bad at modelling political effects, especially not decades into the future. We really have no idea how well we'll cope. We can predict sea level rise with reasonable confidence but I haven't seen any predictions of what people will do in response to that. Will they kill each other? Or gradually move away in a calm fashion the way ordinary migrants do all the time?
- ebbv 9y agoYou're right, modeling the political effects is extremely complicated and I would agree almost impossible to do with any granularity. But we don't have to do that in order to know that the effects we can see happening are disastrous because even the best case scenarios of people calmly relocating are still a disaster, because the destinations are not prepared for the influx of population (think of the Syrian refugee criss but many, many times over.)